Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Widzew Łódź v Radomiak Radom

Início: 2026-09-05 12:45 UTC

Final: Widzew Łódź 0–0 Radomiak Radom

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Previsão 52.74%1.90odd justa
EV -5.07%
Vantagem -2.82%
Kelly -6.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.66%52.74%52.72%54.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.74%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Radomiak Radom (Visitante)

Previsão 22.54%4.44odd justa
EV +1.44%
Vantagem +0.321%
Kelly +0.413%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.89%22.55%22.49%23.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.134.104.5026.67%24.22%24.39%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.72%4.05odd justa
EV -0.628%
Vantagem -0.156%
Kelly -0.208%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.55%24.71%24.80%26.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.683.704.0228.99%27.18%27.03%24.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Widzew Łódź (Local): 52.74%; Radomiak Radom (Visitante): 22.54%; Empate: 24.72%. Para Radomiak Radom (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.44. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.44%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:35
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:35
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:30
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.88%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.39%E -0.551%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 12:54
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -8.24%E -4.73%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.58%EV -2.61%E -0.605%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -3.06%E -0.713%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -4.19%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 06:20
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -4.19%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 09:35
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.32%EV -11.40%E -6.79%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -4.19%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 05:09
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.66%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.58%EV -4.64%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.76%EV -0.628%E -0.156%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:05
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.82%E -5.74%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 12:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 05:05
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 06:25
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 06:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 09:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:49
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 09:20
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 09:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 06:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.62%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 12:50
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.70%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 12:58
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.70%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -2.36%E -0.597%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 09:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 12:49
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 09:20
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 22:00
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 06:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.08%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.23%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -12.08%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 06:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.78%EV -12.98%E -7.87%K -19.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -12.08%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-04 12:49
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.88%EV -9.82%E -5.74%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.78%EV -11.50%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 07:10
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 12:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -15.46%E -4.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 21:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%3.3%2026-09-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53%4.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53%4.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53%4.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%5.1%2026-09-04 14:00