Language:English
Widzew Łódź v Piast Gliwice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Prediction 38.74%2.58fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.78%38.67%38.85%40.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.382.382.5446.51%42.08%42.02%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Piast Gliwice (Visit)
Prediction 31.97%3.13fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.18%32.02%31.97%33.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.872.893.0140.00%34.90%34.60%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.29%3.41fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.17%29.31%29.19%31.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.113.103.3034.72%32.18%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Widzew Łódź (Local): 38.74%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 31.97%; Draw: 29.29%. For Widzew Łódź (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.54, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.55%EV -1.59%E -0.627%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.69%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -1.59%E -0.627%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.02%EV -6.66%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -1.59%E -0.627%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.02%EV -6.66%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.14%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.48%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.48%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.65%EV -6.34%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -10.95%E -3.60%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.24%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.22%EV -10.37%E -3.39%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.26%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:17 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.18%E -3.45%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.18%E -3.45%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -9.73%E -4.18%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -9.73%E -4.18%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -10.12%E -4.36%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.66%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.89%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.89%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -10.89%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -20.09%E -8.03%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -15.64%E -5.43%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.85%EV -11.67%E -5.12%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.69%EV -13.60%E -6.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.95%EV -11.45%E -4.14%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.37%EV -8.61%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.73%EV -13.99%E -6.30%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -13.05%E -4.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -14.77%E -6.71%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.77%E -6.71%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -16.70%E -7.77%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.52% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |