La escuela de los momiosWidzew Łódź v Piast Gliwice
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Predicción 38.74%2.58momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.627%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.78%38.67%38.85%40.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.382.382.5446.51%42.08%42.02%39.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Piast Gliwice (Visitante)
Predicción 31.97%3.13momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.18%32.02%31.97%33.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.872.893.0140.00%34.90%34.60%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.29%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.17%29.31%29.19%31.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.113.103.3034.72%32.18%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.55%EV -1.59%E -0.627%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.69%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -1.59%E -0.627%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.02%EV -6.66%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -1.59%E -0.627%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.02%EV -6.66%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.14%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bovada | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.48%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| BetUS | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.48%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.65%EV -6.34%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -10.95%E -3.60%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.24%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.22%EV -10.37%E -3.39%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.26%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:17 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.18%E -3.45%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.18%E -3.45%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -9.73%E -4.18%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -9.73%E -4.18%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -10.12%E -4.36%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.66%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.89%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.89%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -10.89%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -20.09%E -8.03%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -15.64%E -5.43%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.85%EV -11.67%E -5.12%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.69%EV -13.60%E -6.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.95%EV -11.45%E -4.14%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.37%EV -8.61%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.73%EV -13.99%E -6.30%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -13.05%E -4.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -14.77%E -6.71%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.77%E -6.71%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -16.70%E -7.77%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.52% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |