L’École des cotes

Widzew Łódź v Piast Gliwice

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 15:32 UTC

Score final : Widzew Łódź 2–1 Piast Gliwice

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Prévision 38.74%2.58cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.627%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.78%38.67%38.85%40.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.382.382.5446.51%42.08%42.02%39.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Piast Gliwice (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.97%3.13cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.18%32.02%31.97%33.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.872.893.0140.00%34.90%34.60%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.29%3.41cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.17%29.31%29.19%31.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.113.103.3034.72%32.18%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 37.55%EV -1.59%E -0.627%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.69%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 15:29
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -1.59%E -0.627%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.02%EV -6.66%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 15:30
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -1.59%E -0.627%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.02%EV -6.66%E -2.28%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -3.14%E -1.26%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Bovada2.46I 40.65%NM 37.48%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 15:28
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 37.48%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.79%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 15:29
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 15:30
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 15:29
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.65%EV -6.34%E -2.16%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -10.95%E -3.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:29
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:29
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 15:30
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.24%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.22%EV -10.37%E -3.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:29
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.26%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 15:29
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 15:29
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:17
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:29
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:29
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.18%E -3.45%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -8.18%E -3.45%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.70%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:29
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.30%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -9.73%E -4.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -9.73%E -4.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -10.12%E -4.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -8.90%E -3.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.66%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.89%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.94%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:28
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.89%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -10.89%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -20.09%E -8.03%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -15.64%E -5.43%K -8.32%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-23 15:30
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 38.85%EV -11.67%E -5.12%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 15:29
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.50%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.69%EV -13.60%E -6.10%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.95%EV -11.45%E -4.14%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.37%EV -8.61%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 15:28
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 38.73%EV -13.99%E -6.30%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -13.05%E -4.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-23 15:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -14.77%E -6.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.77%E -6.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.69%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -16.70%E -7.77%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -12.09%E -4.40%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%2.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.52%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%5.0%2026-05-23 15:30