Школа коэффициентов

Widzew Łódź v Nieciecza

Начало: 2026-04-11 12:47 UTC

Итог: Widzew Łódź 1–0 Nieciecza

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

49 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Widzew Łódź (Хозяева)

Прогноз 64.52%1.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.57%
Преимущество -1.70%
Kelly -5.05%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.95%64.40%64.38%66.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.38%69.44%66.23%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Nieciecza (Гости)

Прогноз 14.15%7.07справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.44%
Преимущество +0.602%
Kelly +0.697%
Рост +0.031%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.96%14.24%14.26%16.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.406.176.007.3818.52%16.21%16.67%13.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 21.33%4.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.04%
Преимущество -0.224%
Kelly -0.286%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.64

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.51%21.36%21.36%23.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.234.254.6426.67%23.64%23.53%21.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 12.96%EV +4.44%E +0.602%K +0.697%G +0.031%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.61%EV -1.04%E -0.224%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 12:44
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.07%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.19%EV +2.60%E +0.359%K +0.417%G +0.011%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 12:44
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 12:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 12:44
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -9.03%E -6.40%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -2.35%E -0.340%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -5.09%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -3.76%E -0.554%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 12:43
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -4.47%E -0.663%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:43
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.57%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.21%EV -8.93%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 12:44
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 12:45
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 12:44
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 12:44
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 12:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.25%E -9.01%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -12.25%E -9.01%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 12:43
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.27%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:45
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 64.43%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 12:45
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 64.43%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.55%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -11.55%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 12:45
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 12:45
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 12:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 12:44
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 12:45
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.83%EV -10.32%E -7.42%K -26.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.38%EV -11.49%E -2.77%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 12:44
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:38
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:45
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -3.86%E -2.59%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 12:45
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.67%EV -5.80%E -3.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 12:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:42
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:43
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -23.58%E -4.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 12:45
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.81%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -23.58%E -4.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.21%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%2.6%2026-04-11 12:45
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 66.17%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%4.2%2026-04-11 12:45
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%10.9%2026-04-11 12:45