L’École des cotesWidzew Łódź v Nieciecza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Prévision 64.52%1.55cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -5.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.95%64.40%64.38%66.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.38%69.44%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Nieciecza (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.15%7.07cote équitable
EV +4.44%
Avantage +0.602%
Kelly +0.697%
Croissance +0.031%
avec la cote maximale 7.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.96%14.24%14.26%16.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.176.007.3818.52%16.21%16.67%13.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.33%4.69cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.224%
Kelly -0.286%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.51%21.36%21.36%23.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.234.254.6426.67%23.64%23.53%21.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.38I 13.55%NM 12.96%EV +4.44%E +0.602%K +0.697%G +0.031% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.61%EV -1.04%E -0.224%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.07%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.19%EV +2.60%E +0.359%K +0.417%G +0.011% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -9.03%E -6.40%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -2.35%E -0.340%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -5.09%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -3.76%E -0.554%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 12:43 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -4.47%E -0.663%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:43 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.57%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.21%EV -8.93%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.25%E -9.01%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -12.25%E -9.01%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 12:43 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.27%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.43%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.43%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.55%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -11.55%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.83%EV -10.32%E -7.42%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.38%EV -11.49%E -2.77%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| Unibet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 12:38 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -3.86%E -2.59%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.67%EV -5.80%E -3.97%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 12:42 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 12:43 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -23.58%E -4.37%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.81%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -23.58%E -4.37%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.21% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.49% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.17% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 15.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |