La scuola delle quote

Widzew Łódź v Nieciecza

Inizio: 2026-04-11 12:47 UTC

Finale: Widzew Łódź 1–0 Nieciecza

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Widzew Łódź (Casa)

Previsione 64.52%1.55quota equa
EV -2.57%
Vantaggio -1.70%
Kelly -5.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.95%64.40%64.38%66.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.38%69.44%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nieciecza (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.15%7.07quota equa
EV +4.44%
Vantaggio +0.602%
Kelly +0.697%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.96%14.24%14.26%16.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.406.176.007.3818.52%16.21%16.67%13.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.33%4.69quota equa
EV -1.04%
Vantaggio -0.224%
Kelly -0.286%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.51%21.36%21.36%23.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.234.254.6426.67%23.64%23.53%21.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 12.96%EV +4.44%E +0.602%K +0.697%G +0.031%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.61%EV -1.04%E -0.224%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 12:44
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.07%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.19%EV +2.60%E +0.359%K +0.417%G +0.011%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 12:44
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 12:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 12:44
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -9.03%E -6.40%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -2.35%E -0.340%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -5.09%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -3.76%E -0.554%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 12:43
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -4.47%E -0.663%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:43
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.57%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.21%EV -8.93%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 12:44
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 12:45
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 12:44
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 12:44
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 12:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.25%E -9.01%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -12.25%E -9.01%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 12:43
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.27%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:45
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 64.43%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 12:45
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 64.43%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.55%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -11.55%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 12:45
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 12:45
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 12:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 12:44
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 12:45
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.83%EV -10.32%E -7.42%K -26.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.38%EV -11.49%E -2.77%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 12:44
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:38
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:45
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -3.86%E -2.59%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 12:45
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.67%EV -5.80%E -3.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 12:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:42
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:43
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -23.58%E -4.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 12:45
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.81%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -23.58%E -4.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.21%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%2.6%2026-04-11 12:45
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 66.17%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%4.2%2026-04-11 12:45
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%10.9%2026-04-11 12:45