مدرسة الاحتمالات

Widzew Łódź v Nieciecza

البداية: 2026-04-11 12:47 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Widzew Łódź 1–0 Nieciecza

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Widzew Łódź (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.52%1.55السعر العادل
EV -2.57%
الأفضلية -1.70%
Kelly -5.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.95%64.40%64.38%66.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.441.441.5173.53%69.38%69.44%66.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nieciecza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 14.15%7.07السعر العادل
EV +4.44%
الأفضلية +0.602%
Kelly +0.697%
النمو +0.031%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.96%14.24%14.26%16.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.406.176.007.3818.52%16.21%16.67%13.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.33%4.69السعر العادل
EV -1.04%
الأفضلية -0.224%
Kelly -0.286%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.51%21.36%21.36%23.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.234.254.6426.67%23.64%23.53%21.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 12.96%EV +4.44%E +0.602%K +0.697%G +0.031%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.61%EV -1.04%E -0.224%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 12:44
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.07%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.19%EV +2.60%E +0.359%K +0.417%G +0.011%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 12:44
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 12:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.934%E -0.133%K -0.156%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 12:44
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -9.03%E -6.40%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -2.35%E -0.340%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -5.09%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -3.76%E -0.554%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 12:43
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -4.47%E -0.663%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:43
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.57%EV -7.87%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.21%EV -8.93%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 12:44
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 12:45
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 12:44
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 12:44
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.91%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 12:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.25%E -9.01%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -7.65%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -12.25%E -9.01%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -8.01%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -20.02%E -5.34%K -7.28%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 12:43
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.27%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:45
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 64.43%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 12:45
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 64.43%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -9.43%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 12:45
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.55%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -11.55%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 12:45
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -4.03%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 12:45
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 12:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 12:44
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -9.67%E -6.91%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 12:45
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.83%EV -10.32%E -7.42%K -26.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -15.09%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.38%EV -11.49%E -2.77%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 12:44
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -2.57%E -1.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -17.92%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:38
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -3.22%E -2.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.36%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -18.62%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:45
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -3.86%E -2.59%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 12:45
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -20.75%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.67%EV -5.80%E -3.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 12:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:42
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -7.09%E -4.92%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.16%E -4.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -18.96%E -4.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:43
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -17.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -23.58%E -4.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.56%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 12:45
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.81%EV -8.38%E -5.90%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -23.58%E -4.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 12:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.1%2026-04-11 12:45
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.21%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.49%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.30%2.6%2026-04-11 12:45
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 66.17%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%4.2%2026-04-11 12:45
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%10.9%2026-04-11 12:45