Language:English
Śląsk Wrocław v Raków Częstochowa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Śląsk Wrocław (Local)
Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.963%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.40%31.19%31.14%32.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.953.1136.36%33.96%33.90%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Raków Częstochowa (Visit)
Prediction 41.51%2.41fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.29%41.50%41.54%43.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.222.3147.62%44.88%45.05%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.563%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.31%27.32%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.303.6132.26%30.01%30.30%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 31.19%; Raków Częstochowa (Visit): 41.51%; Draw: 27.29%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.61, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.97%EV -3.00%E -0.963%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.06%EV -4.93%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -2.56%E -0.717%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -8.25%E -3.73%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -4.24%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.83%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -4.24%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.83%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -4.24%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.83%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -5.80%E -1.92%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 14:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -9.08%E -4.15%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.74%E -0.484%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.23%EV -7.84%E -3.53%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 15:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 15:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -7.42%E -3.33%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -11.99%E -5.65%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.50%EV -12.11%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.48%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.31%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-02 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.48%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.31%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -11.10%E -3.90%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -9.50%E -4.36%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.53%EV -13.60%E -4.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-02 15:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.22%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.22%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
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