Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Śląsk Wrocław v Raków Częstochowa

Início: 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC

Final: Śląsk Wrocław 2–1 Raków Częstochowa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Śląsk Wrocław (Local)

Previsão 31.19%3.21odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -0.963%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.40%31.19%31.14%32.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.942.953.1136.36%33.96%33.90%32.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Raków Częstochowa (Visitante)

Previsão 41.51%2.41odd justa
EV -4.10%
Vantagem -1.78%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.29%41.50%41.54%43.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.222.3147.62%44.88%45.05%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.29%3.66odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.407%
Kelly -0.563%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.33%27.31%27.32%28.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.333.303.6132.26%30.01%30.30%27.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 31.19%; Raków Częstochowa (Visitante): 41.51%; Empate: 27.29%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.66. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.61, com valor esperado de -1.47%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.97%EV -3.00%E -0.963%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.06%EV -4.93%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -2.56%E -0.717%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 15:20
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -8.25%E -3.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.563%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:25
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -4.24%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.83%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -4.24%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.83%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 15:20
BetUS🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -4.24%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.83%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -5.80%E -1.92%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 15:25
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:20
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 14:14
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 14:26
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -9.08%E -4.15%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:24
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:25
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:39
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:15
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:15
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.74%E -0.484%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:19
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:49
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:49
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:50
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.23%EV -7.84%E -3.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 14:15
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 15:18
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 15:14
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:24
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 15:04
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -7.42%E -3.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -11.99%E -5.65%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.50%EV -12.11%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.48%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.31%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 14:30
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.48%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.31%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -11.10%E -3.90%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -9.50%E -4.36%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 14:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 31.53%EV -13.60%E -4.91%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 15:19
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.22%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 15:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.22%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 14:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 15:15
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-02 15:25
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-08-02 14:40