Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Śląsk Wrocław v Raków Częstochowa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC

Score final : Śląsk Wrocław 2–1 Raków Częstochowa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Śląsk Wrocław (Local)

Prévision 31.19%3.21cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -0.963%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.40%31.19%31.14%32.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.942.953.1136.36%33.96%33.90%32.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Raków Częstochowa (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.51%2.41cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.29%41.50%41.54%43.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.222.3147.62%44.88%45.05%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.29%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -0.563%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.33%27.31%27.32%28.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.303.6132.26%30.01%30.30%27.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Śląsk Wrocław (Local) : 31.19% ; Raków Częstochowa (Visiteur) : 41.51% ; Match nul : 27.29%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.66. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.61, pour une espérance de -1.47% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.97%EV -3.00%E -0.963%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.06%EV -4.93%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -2.56%E -0.717%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 15:20
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -8.25%E -3.73%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.563%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:25
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -4.24%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.83%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -4.24%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.83%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 15:20
BetUS🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.33%EV -4.24%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -2.83%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -5.80%E -1.92%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 15:25
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:20
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 14:14
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 14:26
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -9.08%E -4.15%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:24
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:25
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:39
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:15
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.05%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:15
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.74%E -0.484%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:19
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:49
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:49
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:50
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.23%EV -7.84%E -3.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 14:15
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 15:18
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 15:14
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:24
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 15:04
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.59%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -7.42%E -3.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -10.17%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -11.99%E -5.65%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.50%EV -12.11%E -3.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.48%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.31%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 14:30
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.48%E -3.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.31%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -11.10%E -3.90%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -10.74%E -5.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -9.50%E -4.36%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 14:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 31.53%EV -13.60%E -4.91%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 15:19
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.22%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 15:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.22%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.82%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 14:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-02 15:15
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-02 15:25
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-08-02 14:40