Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Śląsk Wrocław v Cracovia Kraków

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 12:45 UTC

Final: Śląsk Wrocław 0–0 Cracovia Kraków

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Śląsk Wrocław (Local)

Prediction 38.64%2.59fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%38.69%38.66%40.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.4744.44%42.00%42.02%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cracovia Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 32.92%3.04fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.21%32.87%32.90%34.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.792.802.9638.17%35.87%35.71%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.07%28.44%28.44%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.4233.33%31.23%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 38.64%; Cracovia Kraków (Visit): 32.92%; Draw: 28.44%. For Cracovia Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.96, with an expected value of -2.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.33%EV -4.55%E -1.84%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.53%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.12%EV -4.94%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.74%EV -3.22%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.14%EV -2.74%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 12:40
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.94%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.47%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.88%EV -3.02%E -0.886%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 12:34
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.31%E -0.972%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.19%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.71%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -2.57%E -0.867%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.71%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -2.57%E -0.867%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 12:30
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.54%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.19%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:30
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -7.17%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -7.17%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.08%EV -6.87%E -2.85%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 00:49
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.31%E -0.972%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 12:50
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -7.17%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -6.72%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 12:40
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 12:30
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:38
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:36
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -6.84%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:33
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -6.84%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:35
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 12:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 12:40
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 12:30
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 12:29
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 15:30
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -12.77%E -4.82%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.99%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -2.89%E -0.981%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:30
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -13.43%E -5.11%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.76%E -5.25%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 12:30
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -13.43%E -5.11%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.59%EV -10.47%E -3.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.87%EV -12.69%E -4.13%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -12.77%E -4.82%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 15:30
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -13.76%E -5.25%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 10:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -12.77%E -4.82%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.26%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-09 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-08-09 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.70%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%1.6%2026-08-09 12:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-09 12:30