The School of Odds
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Śląsk Wrocław v Cracovia Kraków

2026-08-09 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Śląsk Wrocław (Local)

Prediction 40.55%2.47fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.07%40.52%40.36%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3747.62%44.50%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cracovia Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 30.92%3.23fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.827%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.79%30.99%30.94%32.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.953.1536.36%33.84%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.53%3.50fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.878%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.57%28.50%28.70%29.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.31%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 40.55%; Cracovia Kraków (Visit): 30.92%; Draw: 28.53%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -2.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.58%EV -3.91%E -1.65%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.08%EV -4.70%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 18:56
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -4.31%E -1.83%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.55%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.72%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.98%E -0.878%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.63%EV -5.12%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -9.72%E -3.33%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.55%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 18:44
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.79%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 18:45
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 18:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 18:50
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.95%E -3.80%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 19:10
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -13.43%E -4.79%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 18:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -14.40%E -4.80%K -7.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -14.40%E -4.80%K -7.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -14.40%E -4.80%K -7.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 18:46
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.43%E -4.79%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.15%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.26%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.15%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.26%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 16:23
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -9.99%E -4.50%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -9.99%E -4.50%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 16:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.80%E -4.91%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 16:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.80%E -4.91%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.80%E -4.91%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.54%E -3.72%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 16:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.80%E -4.91%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.54%E -3.72%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -10.80%E -4.91%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -14.97%E -5.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -12.97%E -4.25%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-06 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -11.61%E -5.33%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.24%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.12%E -3.21%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.79%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.26%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-06 16:19
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.83%E -5.97%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.54%E -3.72%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-06 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -14.85%E -7.07%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -10.33%E -3.56%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -8.69%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-06 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -14.85%E -7.07%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -8.79%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.54%E -3.72%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-06 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%8.0%2026-08-06 19:06
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 41.07%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%11.7%2026-08-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 29.62%1.01I 99.01%NM 40.76%1.39I 71.94%NM 29.62%142.9%2026-08-06 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 29.62%1.01I 99.01%NM 40.76%1.39I 71.94%NM 29.62%142.9%2026-08-06 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 29.62%1.01I 99.01%NM 40.76%1.39I 71.94%NM 29.62%142.9%2026-08-06 18:46