Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 38.64%; Cracovia Kraków (Visitante): 32.92%; Empate: 28.44%. Para Cracovia Kraków (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.04. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.96, con un valor esperado de -2.57%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.33%EV -4.55%E -1.84%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.53%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 08:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.12%EV -4.94%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.74%EV -3.22%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.14%EV -2.74%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.94%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.47%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.88%EV -3.02%E -0.886%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 12:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.31%E -0.972%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 12:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.19%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.71%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -2.57%E -0.867%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.71%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -2.57%E -0.867%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.54%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.19%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -7.17%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -7.17%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.08%EV -6.87%E -2.85%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 00:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.31%E -0.972%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -7.17%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -6.72%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 12:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 12:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -6.84%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 12:33 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -6.84%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 12:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-07 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -12.77%E -4.82%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.99%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -2.89%E -0.981%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -13.43%E -5.11%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.76%E -5.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -13.43%E -5.11%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 12:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.59%EV -10.47%E -3.85%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.87%EV -12.69%E -4.13%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -12.77%E -4.82%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-07 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -13.76%E -5.25%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -12.77%E -4.82%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.26%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.70% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 12:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |