Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Śląsk Wrocław v Cracovia Kraków

Início: 2026-08-09 12:45 UTC

Final: Śląsk Wrocław 0–0 Cracovia Kraków

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Śląsk Wrocław (Local)

Previsão 38.64%2.59odd justa
EV -4.55%
Vantagem -1.84%
Kelly -3.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.78%38.69%38.66%40.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.382.382.4744.44%42.00%42.02%40.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cracovia Kraków (Visitante)

Previsão 32.92%3.04odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -0.867%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.21%32.87%32.90%34.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.792.802.9638.17%35.87%35.71%33.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.44%3.52odd justa
EV -2.74%
Vantagem -0.800%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.07%28.44%28.44%29.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.4233.33%31.23%31.25%29.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 38.64%; Cracovia Kraków (Visitante): 32.92%; Empate: 28.44%. Para Cracovia Kraków (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.04. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.96, com valor esperado de -2.57%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.33%EV -4.55%E -1.84%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.53%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.12%EV -4.94%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.74%EV -3.22%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.14%EV -2.74%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 12:40
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.94%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.47%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.88%EV -3.02%E -0.886%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 12:34
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.31%E -0.972%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.19%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.71%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -2.57%E -0.867%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.71%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -2.57%E -0.867%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 12:30
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.54%E -1.57%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.19%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:30
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -7.17%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.82%EV -7.17%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.08%EV -6.87%E -2.85%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 00:49
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.31%E -0.972%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 12:50
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -7.17%E -2.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -6.72%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 12:40
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 12:30
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:38
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 12:36
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -6.84%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:33
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -6.84%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:35
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 12:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.83%E -2.80%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 12:40
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 12:30
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 12:29
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.48%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 15:30
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -12.77%E -4.82%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.99%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -2.89%E -0.981%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:30
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -13.43%E -5.11%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.76%E -5.25%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 12:30
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -13.43%E -5.11%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.12%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.59%EV -10.47%E -3.85%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.87%EV -12.69%E -4.13%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -11.12%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -12.77%E -4.82%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 15:30
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -13.76%E -5.25%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 10:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -13.05%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -12.77%E -4.82%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.26%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-09 12:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-08-09 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.70%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%1.6%2026-08-09 12:40
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-09 12:30