Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Śląsk Wrocław v Cracovia Kraków

2026-08-09 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Frente a frente

31 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Śląsk Wrocław (Local)

Previsão 40.30%2.48odd justa
EV -3.28%
Vantagem -1.37%
Kelly -2.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.42%40.40%40.13%42.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.35%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cracovia Kraków (Visitante)

Previsão 31.21%3.20odd justa
EV -3.26%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.79%31.18%31.25%32.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.952.953.1036.36%33.91%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.49%3.51odd justa
EV -3.12%
Vantagem -0.918%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.57%28.42%28.62%29.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.15%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 40.30%; Cracovia Kraków (Visitante): 31.21%; Empate: 28.49%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.51. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.40, com valor esperado de -3.12%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (31 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.39%EV -8.56%E -2.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.07%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 19:55
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -4.89%E -2.07%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -8.25%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.68%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.12%E -0.918%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -11.06%E -3.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.63%EV -5.70%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -8.88%E -3.04%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.68%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 18:44
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 18:45
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 18:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-06 18:50
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.12%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 19:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 18:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.67%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-06 19:46
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.67%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-06 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.67%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-06 19:45
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.62%E -4.51%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.26%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 16:23
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -10.54%E -4.75%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -4.82%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -10.54%E -4.75%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -4.82%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 16:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -11.34%E -5.16%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 16:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -11.34%E -5.16%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.34%E -5.16%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 16:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.34%E -5.16%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -11.34%E -5.16%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -14.18%E -5.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.09%E -4.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-06 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -12.15%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.24%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -13.36%E -6.21%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-06 16:19
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.36%E -6.21%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.67%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-06 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -15.37%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -9.50%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-06 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -15.37%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -7.94%E -2.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.67%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-06 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-08-06 20:05
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 41.07%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%11.7%2026-08-06 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 35.42%1.01I 99.01%NM 49.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 15.13%100.2%2026-08-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 35.42%1.01I 99.01%NM 49.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 15.13%100.2%2026-08-06 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 35.42%1.01I 99.01%NM 49.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 15.13%100.2%2026-08-06 19:35