Language:English
Raków Częstochowa v Nieciecza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prediction 66.04%1.51fair odd
EV -0.937%
Edge -0.625%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.34%65.82%66.02%67.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.401.401.5079.37%71.46%71.43%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nieciecza (Visit)
Prediction 13.71%7.30fair odd
EV +5.96%
Edge +0.771%
Kelly +0.885%
Growth +0.053%
assuming max odds 7.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.29%13.83%13.73%16.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.656.757.7318.18%15.03%14.81%12.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.25%4.94fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.463%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.27%20.35%20.26%23.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.494.504.8526.67%22.29%22.22%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 66.04%; Nieciecza (Visit): 13.71%; Draw: 20.25%. For Nieciecza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.30. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.29%EV +5.96%E +0.771%K +0.885%G +0.053% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.87%EV -3.20%E -0.670%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.68%EV +3.63%E +0.480%K +0.553%G +0.020% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.81%EV -1.99%E -0.410%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +2.80%E +0.374%K +0.431%G +0.012% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.83%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.18%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -0.623%E -0.086%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -1.78%E -0.368%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.18%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -0.623%E -0.086%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -1.78%E -0.368%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -2.80%E -0.582%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 13:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.84%EV -8.16%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.83%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.84%EV -8.16%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.83%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.93%EV -9.53%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -13.93%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.95%E -3.56%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -14.33%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -12.31%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 66.60%EV -16.79%E -13.32%K -64.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.43%EV -14.33%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -14.95%E -3.56%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -10.84%E -8.03%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -16.39%E -2.69%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -13.93%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 13:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.47%EV -8.20%E -5.90%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.31%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.31%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -24.06%E -6.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.78%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -20.50%E -3.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -0.937%E -0.625%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -24.61%E -4.47%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -21.02%E -5.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-20 05:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -0.937%E -0.625%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -24.61%E -4.47%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -21.02%E -5.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -0.937%E -0.625%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -24.61%E -4.47%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -21.02%E -5.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.27% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |