L’École des cotesFrançais
Raków Częstochowa v Nieciecza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prévision 66.04%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.937%
Avantage -0.625%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.34%65.82%66.02%67.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.401.401.5079.37%71.46%71.43%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Nieciecza (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.71%7.30cote équitable
EV +5.96%
Avantage +0.771%
Kelly +0.885%
Croissance +0.053%
avec la cote maximale 7.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.29%13.83%13.73%16.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.656.757.7318.18%15.03%14.81%12.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.25%4.94cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.368%
Kelly -0.463%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.27%20.35%20.26%23.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.494.504.8526.67%22.29%22.22%20.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.29%EV +5.96%E +0.771%K +0.885%G +0.053% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.87%EV -3.20%E -0.670%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.68%EV +3.63%E +0.480%K +0.553%G +0.020% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.81%EV -1.99%E -0.410%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +2.80%E +0.374%K +0.431%G +0.012% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.83%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.18%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -0.623%E -0.086%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -1.78%E -0.368%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.18%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -0.623%E -0.086%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -1.78%E -0.368%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:41 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -2.80%E -0.582%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 13:33 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:53 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.84%EV -8.16%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.83%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.84%EV -8.16%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.83%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.93%EV -9.53%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -13.93%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.95%E -3.56%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -14.33%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -12.31%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 66.60%EV -16.79%E -13.32%K -64.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.43%EV -14.33%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -14.95%E -3.56%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -10.84%E -8.03%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -16.39%E -2.69%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -13.93%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 13:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.47%EV -8.20%E -5.90%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.31%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.31%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -24.06%E -6.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.78%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -20.50%E -3.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -0.937%E -0.625%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -24.61%E -4.47%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -21.02%E -5.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-20 05:36 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -0.937%E -0.625%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -24.61%E -4.47%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -21.02%E -5.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -0.937%E -0.625%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -24.61%E -4.47%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -21.02%E -5.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.27% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |