La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Raków Częstochowa v Nieciecza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Predicción 66.04%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.937%
Ventaja -0.625%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.34%65.82%66.02%67.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.401.401.5079.37%71.46%71.43%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nieciecza (Visitante)
Predicción 13.71%7.30momio equitativo
EV +5.96%
Ventaja +0.771%
Kelly +0.885%
Crecimiento +0.053%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.29%13.83%13.73%16.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.656.757.7318.18%15.03%14.81%12.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.25%4.94momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.368%
Kelly -0.463%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.27%20.35%20.26%23.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.494.504.8526.67%22.29%22.22%20.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.29%EV +5.96%E +0.771%K +0.885%G +0.053% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.87%EV -3.20%E -0.670%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.68%EV +3.63%E +0.480%K +0.553%G +0.020% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.81%EV -1.99%E -0.410%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +2.80%E +0.374%K +0.431%G +0.012% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.83%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.18%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -0.623%E -0.086%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -1.78%E -0.368%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.18%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -0.623%E -0.086%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -1.78%E -0.368%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.24%E -2.92%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:41 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -6.88%E -4.88%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.52%E -6.95%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -2.80%E -0.582%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 13:33 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -4.05%E -0.579%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:53 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -7.48%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.84%EV -8.16%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.83%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.84%EV -8.16%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -5.83%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.93%EV -9.53%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -13.93%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -8.86%E -6.42%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.95%E -3.56%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.90%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -14.33%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -12.31%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 66.60%EV -16.79%E -13.32%K -64.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.43%EV -14.33%E -2.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -14.95%E -3.56%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -10.84%E -8.03%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -16.39%E -2.69%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -13.93%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 13:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.47%EV -8.20%E -5.90%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.31%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.54%E -5.39%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.31%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -17.76%E -2.96%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -24.06%E -6.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.78%EV -10.18%E -7.49%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -20.50%E -3.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -0.937%E -0.625%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -24.61%E -4.47%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -21.02%E -5.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-20 05:36 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -0.937%E -0.625%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -24.61%E -4.47%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -21.02%E -5.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -0.937%E -0.625%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -24.61%E -4.47%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -21.02%E -5.39%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.44% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.46% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.27% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |