Language:English
Radomiak Radom v Zagłębie Lubin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Prediction 36.40%2.75fair odd
EV -0.251%
Edge -0.092%
Kelly -0.144%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.65%36.32%36.40%37.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.502.502.7442.55%40.05%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zagłębie Lubin (Visit)
Prediction 35.11%2.85fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -0.936%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.43%35.23%35.10%37.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.632.8041.67%38.07%38.02%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.48%3.51fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.672%
Kelly -0.948%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.45%28.50%29.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.203.203.4332.79%31.24%31.25%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Radomiak Radom (Local): 36.40%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visit): 35.11%; Draw: 28.48%. For Radomiak Radom (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.74, with an expected value of -0.251%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -0.251%E -0.092%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.67%EV -11.52%E -4.57%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -2.30%E -0.672%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.41%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.15%EV -5.90%E -2.20%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.41%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.15%EV -5.90%E -2.20%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -3.89%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.88%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV -4.30%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.59%EV -3.89%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.06%EV -5.90%E -2.20%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -3.16%E -0.929%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.20%E -1.92%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.20%E -1.92%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -6.25%E -2.34%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 12:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 12:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 12:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.33%EV -7.53%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.26%E -3.28%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.26%E -3.28%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -1.69%E -0.602%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 12:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.06%EV -11.90%E -4.92%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.33%EV -13.27%E -5.37%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -5.20%E -1.92%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 12:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 12:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -15.73%E -6.55%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -13.97%E -5.70%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -13.36%E -5.61%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.56% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30% | 2.4% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.21% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.77% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |