Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Radomiak Radom (Local): 36.40%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante): 35.11%; Empate: 28.48%. Para Radomiak Radom (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.75. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.74, con un valor esperado de -0.251%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -0.251%E -0.092%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.67%EV -11.52%E -4.57%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -2.30%E -0.672%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.41%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.15%EV -5.90%E -2.20%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.41%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.15%EV -5.90%E -2.20%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -3.89%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.88%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV -4.30%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.59%EV -3.89%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.06%EV -5.90%E -2.20%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -3.16%E -0.929%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.20%E -1.92%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.20%E -1.92%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -6.25%E -2.34%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 12:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 12:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 12:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.33%EV -7.53%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.26%E -3.28%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.26%E -3.28%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -1.69%E -0.602%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 12:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 11:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.06%EV -11.90%E -4.92%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.33%EV -13.27%E -5.37%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -5.20%E -1.92%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 12:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 12:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -15.73%E -6.55%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -13.97%E -5.70%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -13.36%E -5.61%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.56% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30% | 2.4% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.21% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.77% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |