Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Radomiak Radom v Zagłębie Lubin

Início: 2026-08-23 12:46 UTC

Final: Radomiak Radom 0–0 Zagłębie Lubin

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Previsão 36.40%2.75odd justa
EV -0.251%
Vantagem -0.092%
Kelly -0.144%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.65%36.32%36.40%37.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.502.502.7442.55%40.05%40.00%36.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante)

Previsão 35.11%2.85odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -0.602%
Kelly -0.936%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.43%35.23%35.10%37.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.632.632.8041.67%38.07%38.02%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.48%3.51odd justa
EV -2.30%
Vantagem -0.672%
Kelly -0.948%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.27%28.45%28.50%29.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.203.203.4332.79%31.24%31.25%29.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Radomiak Radom (Local): 36.40%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante): 35.11%; Empate: 28.48%. Para Radomiak Radom (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.75. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.74, com valor esperado de -0.251%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -0.251%E -0.092%K -0.144%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.67%EV -11.52%E -4.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -2.30%E -0.672%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.41%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.15%EV -5.90%E -2.20%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 11:55
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.41%EV -3.16%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.15%EV -5.90%E -2.20%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 11:50
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -3.89%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.88%EV -3.09%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV -4.30%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.59%EV -3.89%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.06%EV -5.90%E -2.20%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 12:45
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.58%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 12:45
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 12:45
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.35%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 12:05
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -3.16%E -0.929%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 12:00
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.20%E -1.92%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.20%E -1.92%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -6.25%E -2.34%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 12:39
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 12:44
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.17%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 12:39
Bovada🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.33%EV -7.53%E -2.97%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 12:40
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.26%E -3.28%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 12:15
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.26%E -3.28%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -1.69%E -0.602%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 11:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 12:44
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.43%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 11:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 12:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.01%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 12:45
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 12:04
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 12:00
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.99%E -3.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.22%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 12:45
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.71%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -10.81%E -4.41%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 12:45
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 12:00
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 12:00
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 12:00
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -11.54%E -4.75%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.44%E -1.25%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.06%EV -11.90%E -4.92%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.33%EV -13.27%E -5.37%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.13%E -4.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 12:05
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -5.20%E -1.92%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 12:00
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 12:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 12:15
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -15.73%E -6.55%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -8.85%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -12.63%E -5.26%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -13.97%E -5.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-23 12:45
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -13.36%E -5.61%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -6.95%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -14.45%E -6.15%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -7.65%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.70%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-23 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-23 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-08-23 12:45
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-23 12:30
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.56%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%2.4%2026-08-23 12:45
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.21%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%5.0%2026-08-23 12:45