The School of Odds

Radomiak Radom v Wieczysta Kraków

2026-07-24 16:00 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Prediction 36.39%2.75fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.77%36.45%36.38%37.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.322.502.502.6343%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Wieczysta Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 36.40%2.75fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.23%36.39%36.38%37.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.502.6042%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.567%
Kelly -0.786%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%27.16%27.25%28.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.133.373.353.6032%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%EV -4.30%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.59%EV -5.72%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.39%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 20:25
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -2.04%E -0.567%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 20:40
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -5.39%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:25
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -6.12%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.64%EV -7.90%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 22:00
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -6.12%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.64%EV -7.90%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 22:00
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 35.93%EV -6.48%E -2.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.50%EV -7.90%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 20:21
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -6.85%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 20:24
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -6.85%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.21%E -2.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.04%E -0.567%K -0.786%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 21:25
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.30%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.08%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 20:39
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.30%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.08%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 20:40
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.04%E -0.567%K -0.786%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 20:39
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 20:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 20:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 20:40
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 20:39
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 20:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 20:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 14:15
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 20:23
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 20:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 20:25
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.03%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 20:25
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 36.74%EV -10.49%E -4.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.45%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-21 20:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.85%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.82%E -4.41%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-21 20:40
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.85%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.67%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 20:40
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.67%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 20:40
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -12.67%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.82%E -4.41%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-21 20:40
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.69%EV -14.49%E -6.17%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -14.29%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-21 20:45
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.20%EV -15.58%E -6.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.23%EV -10.82%E -4.41%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.57%EV -14.83%E -4.74%K -6.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-21 20:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 36.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%11.6%2026-07-21 20:40