Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Radomiak Radom v Wieczysta Kraków

Kickoff: 2026-07-24 16:00 UTC

Final: Radomiak Radom 2–1 Wieczysta Kraków

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Prediction 40.11%2.49fair odd
EV +0.274%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.183%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.37%39.97%40.12%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.332.302.5046.08%42.88%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 33.06%3.02fair odd
EV +6.79%
Edge +2.10%
Kelly +3.05%
Growth +0.207%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.39%33.15%33.05%35.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.742.753.2340.00%36.44%36.36%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.890%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.12%26.88%26.82%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.373.353.6431.75%29.64%29.85%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Radomiak Radom (Local): 40.11%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visit): 33.06%; Draw: 26.83%. For Wieczysta Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.01%EV -9.35%E -4.14%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.39%EV +6.79%E +2.10%K +3.05%G +0.207%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -10.93%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.99%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.54%EV -2.13%E -0.721%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV -2.35%E -0.645%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -5.44%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.42%E -0.950%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 15:25
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.42%E -0.950%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.10%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.10%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 15:55
Bovada🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -9.35%E -4.14%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -6.43%E -2.27%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 15:48
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -9.35%E -4.14%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -6.43%E -2.27%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 15:50
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.88%EV -6.76%E -2.40%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:35
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.88%EV -6.76%E -2.40%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 15:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 15:35
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 15:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 15:30
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:55
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:48
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 15:35
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 15:50
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:45
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 15:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 15:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.86%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.19%EV -11.72%E -4.39%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.95%EV -14.96%E -4.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-24 15:33
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.97%EV -12.96%E -5.97%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.49%EV -11.72%E -4.39%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -15.49%E -4.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-24 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 15:40
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:45
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:45
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -1.73%E -0.707%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -13.04%E -4.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -2.53%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -2.53%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -17.34%E -6.94%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 15:35
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -11.76%E -5.34%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -17.34%E -6.94%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-24 15:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-24 15:45
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-07-24 15:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-07-24 15:50

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