La escuela de los momiosRadomiak Radom v Wieczysta Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Predicción 40.11%2.49momio equitativo
EV +0.274%
Ventaja +0.110%
Kelly +0.183%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.37%39.97%40.12%42.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.332.302.5046.08%42.88%43.48%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 33.06%3.02momio equitativo
EV +6.79%
Ventaja +2.10%
Kelly +3.05%
Crecimiento +0.207%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.39%33.15%33.05%35.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.742.753.2340.00%36.44%36.36%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.890%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.12%26.88%26.82%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.373.353.6431.75%29.64%29.85%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.01%EV -9.35%E -4.14%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.39%EV +6.79%E +2.10%K +3.05%G +0.207% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -10.93%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 15:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.99%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.54%EV -2.13%E -0.721%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV -2.35%E -0.645%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-24 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -5.44%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 15:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.42%E -0.950%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 15:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.42%E -0.950%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.10%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-24 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.10%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-24 15:55 |
| Bovada | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -9.35%E -4.14%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -6.43%E -2.27%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 15:48 |
| BetUS | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -9.35%E -4.14%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -6.43%E -2.27%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.88%EV -6.76%E -2.40%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 15:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.88%EV -6.76%E -2.40%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-24 15:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-24 15:35 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 15:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-24 15:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 15:30 |
| betano_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-24 15:49 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-24 15:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-24 15:48 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-24 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-24 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-24 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.86%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.19%EV -11.72%E -4.39%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.95%EV -14.96%E -4.72%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-24 15:33 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.97%EV -12.96%E -5.97%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.49%EV -11.72%E -4.39%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -15.49%E -4.92%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-24 15:40 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -1.73%E -0.707%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -13.04%E -4.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -2.53%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-24 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -2.53%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-24 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-24 15:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -17.34%E -6.94%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-24 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -11.76%E -5.34%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -17.34%E -6.94%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-24 15:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-07-24 15:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.44% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 1.3% | 2026-07-24 15:50 |