L’École des cotes

Radomiak Radom v Wieczysta Kraków

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-24 16:00 UTC

Score final : Radomiak Radom 2–1 Wieczysta Kraków

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Prévision 40.11%2.49cote équitable
EV +0.274%
Avantage +0.110%
Kelly +0.183%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.37%39.97%40.12%42.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.332.302.5046.08%42.88%43.48%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.06%3.02cote équitable
EV +6.79%
Avantage +2.10%
Kelly +3.05%
Croissance +0.207%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.39%33.15%33.05%35.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.742.753.2340.00%36.44%36.36%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -0.890%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.12%26.88%26.82%28.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.373.353.6431.75%29.64%29.85%27.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.01%EV -9.35%E -4.14%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.39%EV +6.79%E +2.10%K +3.05%G +0.207%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -10.93%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 15:55
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.99%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.54%EV -2.13%E -0.721%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV -2.35%E -0.645%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 15:55
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -5.44%E -1.90%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:55
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.42%E -0.950%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 15:25
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 15:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.42%E -0.950%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.10%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 15:55
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -6.14%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.10%E -2.15%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 15:55
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -9.35%E -4.14%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -6.43%E -2.27%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 15:48
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -9.35%E -4.14%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -6.43%E -2.27%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 15:50
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.88%EV -6.76%E -2.40%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:35
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.88%EV -6.76%E -2.40%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:35
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 15:49
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -6.95%E -2.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 15:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 15:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 15:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 15:55
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 15:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 15:55
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 15:30
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:49
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:55
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 15:48
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 15:45
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 15:35
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 15:50
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:45
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:50
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:45
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV +0.274%E +0.110%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 15:45
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 15:50
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 15:45
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.75%E -4.33%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 15:30
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.86%EV -8.55%E -3.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.19%EV -11.72%E -4.39%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.95%EV -14.96%E -4.72%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-24 15:33
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.97%EV -12.96%E -5.97%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.49%EV -11.72%E -4.39%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -15.49%E -4.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-24 15:45
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 15:40
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:50
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:45
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:45
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -0.528%E -0.213%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:45
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -1.73%E -0.707%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -13.04%E -4.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 15:50
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -2.53%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -2.53%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:35
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 15:40
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -5.74%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -17.34%E -6.94%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 15:35
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -11.76%E -5.34%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -17.34%E -6.94%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-24 15:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-07-24 15:45
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-07-24 15:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-07-24 15:50