Language:English
Radomiak Radom v Legia Warszawa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%35.69%35.63%36.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.602.7642.55%38.74%38.46%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Legia Warszawa (Visit)
Prediction 35.80%2.79fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.20%35.74%35.79%37.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.552.7142.55%39.20%39.22%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.61%3.49fair odd
EV +0.143%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.057%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.57%28.58%30.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.223.253.5035.71%31.06%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Radomiak Radom (Local): 35.59%; Legia Warszawa (Visit): 35.80%; Draw: 28.61%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.143%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV +0.143%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.77%E -0.641%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.49%EV -2.99%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.88%EV -4.72%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.13%E -0.773%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -5.01%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.13%E -0.773%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -5.01%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 18:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -11.22%E -4.53%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -11.22%E -4.53%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -7.64%E -2.96%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -7.64%E -2.96%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-13 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 18:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -13.01%E -5.36%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.08%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -9.59%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.71%EV -8.18%E -3.17%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.71%EV -8.18%E -3.17%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 34.93%EV -9.96%E -3.93%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.24%EV -10.44%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.21%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.21%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.21%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-13 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.53%EV -13.87%E -5.73%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.28%EV -15.16%E -6.40%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -12.73%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 19:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-13 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-13 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.22%EV -16.36%E -6.96%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.22%EV -15.88%E -6.76%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.56%EV -19.89%E -7.10%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-03-13 19:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.43% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |