L’École des cotes

Radomiak Radom v Legia Warszawa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Prévision 35.59%2.81cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.641%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%35.69%35.63%36.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.582.602.7642.55%38.74%38.46%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Legia Warszawa (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.80%2.79cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.20%35.74%35.79%37.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.552.552.7142.55%39.20%39.22%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.61%3.49cote équitable
EV +0.143%
Avantage +0.041%
Kelly +0.057%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%28.57%28.58%30.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.223.253.5035.71%31.06%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV +0.143%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:25
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:40
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:40
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.77%E -0.641%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:25
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.49%EV -2.99%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.88%EV -4.72%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 19:15
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.13%E -0.773%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -5.01%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.13%E -0.773%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -5.01%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 18:35
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 18:34
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:25
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 18:34
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:25
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -11.22%E -4.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:39
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -11.22%E -4.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:40
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -7.64%E -2.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 19:25
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -7.64%E -2.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 19:24
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 19:25
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 19:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 18:40
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:04
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 18:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 18:58
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 19:25
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -13.01%E -5.36%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 18:40
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.08%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -9.59%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:25
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 35.71%EV -8.18%E -3.17%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:25
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 35.71%EV -8.18%E -3.17%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:24
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-13 19:25
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 34.93%EV -9.96%E -3.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.24%EV -10.44%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-13 19:24
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.21%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:05
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.21%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:05
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.21%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:05
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 19:04
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 18:35
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 18:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-13 19:25
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.53%EV -13.87%E -5.73%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.28%EV -15.16%E -6.40%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -12.73%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-13 19:24
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 19:04
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-13 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-13 19:05
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.22%EV -16.36%E -6.96%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.22%EV -15.88%E -6.76%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.56%EV -19.89%E -7.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-13 19:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.43%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-03-13 19:20
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-03-13 19:20