La escuela de los momios

Radomiak Radom v Legia Warszawa

Inicio: 2026-03-13 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Predicción 35.59%2.81momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.641%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%35.69%35.63%36.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.582.602.7642.55%38.74%38.46%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Legia Warszawa (Visitante)

Predicción 35.80%2.79momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.20%35.74%35.79%37.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.552.552.7142.55%39.20%39.22%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.61%3.49momio equitativo
EV +0.143%
Ventaja +0.041%
Kelly +0.057%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.57%28.58%30.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.223.253.5035.71%31.06%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV +0.143%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:25
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:40
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:40
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.77%E -0.641%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 19:25
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.40%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.49%EV -2.99%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.88%EV -4.72%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 19:15
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.13%E -0.773%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -5.01%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -2.13%E -0.773%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -5.01%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 18:35
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 18:34
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:25
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 18:34
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:25
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -11.22%E -4.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:39
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -11.22%E -4.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:40
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -7.64%E -2.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 19:25
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -7.64%E -2.96%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 19:24
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 19:25
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 19:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -12.30%E -5.02%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 18:40
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.14%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:04
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.35%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.72%E -3.42%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 18:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 18:58
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 19:25
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.61%EV -13.01%E -5.36%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 18:40
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.08%EV -5.50%E -2.08%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -9.59%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:25
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 35.71%EV -8.18%E -3.17%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:25
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 35.71%EV -8.18%E -3.17%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:24
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-13 19:25
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 34.93%EV -9.96%E -3.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.24%EV -10.44%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-13 19:24
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.21%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:05
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.21%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:05
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.21%E -2.37%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:05
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 19:04
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 18:35
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 18:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-13 19:25
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.53%EV -13.87%E -5.73%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.28%EV -15.16%E -6.40%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%EV -12.73%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-13 19:24
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.93%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 19:04
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.51%E -4.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-13 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -14.09%E -5.87%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-13 19:05
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.22%EV -16.36%E -6.96%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.22%EV -15.88%E -6.76%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.56%EV -19.89%E -7.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-13 19:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.51%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.43%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-03-13 19:20
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-03-13 19:20