Language:English
Radomiak Radom v Arka Gdynia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Prediction 53.33%1.88fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.51%53.37%53.15%55.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.711.701.7864.10%58.63%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arka Gdynia (Visit)
Prediction 21.56%4.64fair odd
EV +2.40%
Edge +0.506%
Kelly +0.640%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.74%21.52%21.65%23.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.364.334.7525.97%22.94%23.09%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.11%3.98fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -0.713%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.40%25.11%25.20%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.643.653.9031.25%27.44%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Radomiak Radom (Local): 53.33%; Arka Gdynia (Visit): 21.56%; Draw: 25.11%. For Arka Gdynia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.81%EV -0.616%E -0.134%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.67%EV -2.32%E -0.596%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -12.54%E -7.64%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -12.54%E -7.64%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -1.26%E -0.276%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.22%EV -5.33%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.91%E -0.420%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.91%E -0.420%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.32%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -3.32%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.60%E -8.40%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -14.14%E -8.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -5.60%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.60%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.80%EV -6.09%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.86%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-05 19:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.60%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.94%E -6.55%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.56%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.37%EV -12.61%E -3.62%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-05 19:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -10.94%E -6.55%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -19.64%E -6.14%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.65%EV -14.67%E -9.17%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -13.37%E -3.87%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 53.68%EV -16.80%E -10.77%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.38%EV -17.13%E -5.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -14.84%E -3.76%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.37%E -3.87%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -17.00%E -4.42%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -10.86%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |