L’École des cotes

Radomiak Radom v Arka Gdynia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Prévision 53.33%1.88cote équitable
EV -5.07%
Avantage -2.85%
Kelly -6.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.51%53.37%53.15%55.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.711.701.7864.10%58.63%58.82%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arka Gdynia (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.56%4.64cote équitable
EV +2.40%
Avantage +0.506%
Kelly +0.640%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.74%21.52%21.65%23.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.364.334.7525.97%22.94%23.09%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.11%3.98cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.530%
Kelly -0.713%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.40%25.11%25.20%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.643.653.9031.25%27.44%27.40%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:20
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:20
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:20
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:20
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.81%EV -0.616%E -0.134%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.67%EV -2.32%E -0.596%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 19:25
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:14
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 18:45
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -12.54%E -7.64%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -12.54%E -7.64%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 19:20
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -1.26%E -0.276%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.22%EV -5.33%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:25
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.91%E -0.420%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.91%E -0.420%K -0.538%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.32%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 18:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -3.32%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 19:05
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.60%E -8.40%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-05 19:20
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -14.14%E -8.78%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-05 19:20
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:05
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 19:04
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 19:15
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -5.60%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 18:39
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-05 19:15
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.60%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:05
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.80%EV -6.09%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:05
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:05
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:05
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 18:40
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.86%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-05 19:05
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:05
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:05
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 19:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 18:40
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-05 19:14
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.60%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 19:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-05 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-05 18:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.94%E -6.55%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-05 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.56%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.37%EV -12.61%E -3.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-05 19:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -10.94%E -6.55%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -19.64%E -6.14%K -8.93%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-05 19:15
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.65%EV -14.67%E -9.17%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -13.37%E -3.87%K -5.46%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-05 19:25
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.68%EV -16.80%E -10.77%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.38%EV -17.13%E -5.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-05 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -14.84%E -3.76%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.37%E -3.87%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-05 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -17.00%E -4.42%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -10.86%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-05 19:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-03-05 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-03-05 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-03-05 19:15
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-03-05 19:10
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.35%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-03-05 19:25