La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Radomiak Radom v Arka Gdynia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Predicción 53.33%1.88momio equitativo
EV -5.07%
Ventaja -2.85%
Kelly -6.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.51%53.37%53.15%55.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.711.701.7864.10%58.63%58.82%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arka Gdynia (Visitante)
Predicción 21.56%4.64momio equitativo
EV +2.40%
Ventaja +0.506%
Kelly +0.640%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.74%21.52%21.65%23.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.364.334.7525.97%22.94%23.09%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.11%3.98momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.530%
Kelly -0.713%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.40%25.11%25.20%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.643.653.9031.25%27.44%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +2.40%E +0.506%K +0.640%G +0.015% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.58%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +1.32%E +0.282%K +0.358%G +0.005% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.81%EV -0.616%E -0.134%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.67%EV -2.32%E -0.596%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 18:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -12.54%E -7.64%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -12.54%E -7.64%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -0.832%E -0.181%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -1.26%E -0.276%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.22%EV -5.33%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.91%E -0.420%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.91%E -0.420%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.07%E -0.530%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.32%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -3.32%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.60%E -8.40%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -14.14%E -8.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -2.99%E -0.664%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.14%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -5.60%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 18:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -6.65%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.60%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -7.30%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.80%EV -6.09%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.86%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.34%E -5.49%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-05 19:14 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.60%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.83%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.09%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.94%E -6.55%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -9.60%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.56%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.37%EV -12.61%E -3.62%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-05 19:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -10.94%E -6.55%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -19.64%E -6.14%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.65%EV -14.67%E -9.17%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -13.37%E -3.87%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 53.68%EV -16.80%E -10.77%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.38%EV -17.13%E -5.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -14.84%E -3.76%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.37%E -3.87%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -17.00%E -4.42%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -10.86%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-05 19:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.44% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 19:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 1.1% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |