La scuola delle quote

Pogoń Szczecin v Wisła Płock

Inizio: 2026-05-03 15:30 UTC

Finale: Pogoń Szczecin 3–0 Wisła Płock

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pogoń Szczecin (Casa)

Previsione 49.70%2.01quota equa
EV -5.08%
Vantaggio -2.66%
Kelly -5.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.06%49.72%49.69%51.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.831.831.9158.14%54.59%54.64%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wisła Płock (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.99%4.17quota equa
EV -0.668%
Vantaggio -0.161%
Kelly -0.213%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.92%24.03%23.99%25.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.853.854.1428.99%25.95%25.97%24.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.31%3.80quota equa
EV -1.34%
Vantaggio -0.357%
Kelly -0.487%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.83%26.26%26.32%27.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.483.503.7532.26%28.71%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.75%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.41%EV -2.59%E -0.637%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -6.86%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 15:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 15:00
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 15:05
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 15:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 15:00
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.83%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.21%EV -0.668%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -2.65%E -0.717%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 15:20
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:10
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 15:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:10
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.56%E -4.07%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -12.43%E -3.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:00
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 14:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.34%E -0.357%K -0.487%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 14:55
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -7.39%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 14:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 15:20
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:40
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 15:15
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:15
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:20
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:15
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 15:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 15:00
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:35
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:35
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:40
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 15:05
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -17.22%E -4.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 15:00
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 49.27%EV -10.05%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.05%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.42%EV -12.90%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.62%EV -12.39%E -3.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 15:13
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -10.05%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 15:14
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 15:15
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-03 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -18.44%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:40
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -12.53%E -7.12%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 14:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -13.03%E -7.45%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 15:10
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 51.12%EV -13.53%E -7.77%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.10%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 14:40
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -14.52%E -8.44%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 14:35
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.03%EV -14.52%E -8.44%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 15:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-05-03 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-05-03 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-05-03 15:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-05-03 15:15
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%5.2%2026-05-03 15:20