La escuela de los momiosPogoń Szczecin v Wisła Płock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Predicción 49.70%2.01momio equitativo
EV -5.08%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -5.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.06%49.72%49.69%51.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.831.831.9158.14%54.59%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wisła Płock (Visitante)
Predicción 23.99%4.17momio equitativo
EV -0.668%
Ventaja -0.161%
Kelly -0.213%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.92%24.03%23.99%25.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.853.854.1428.99%25.95%25.97%24.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.31%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.357%
Kelly -0.487%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.83%26.26%26.32%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.503.7532.26%28.71%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.75%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.41%EV -2.59%E -0.637%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -6.86%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 15:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.83%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.21%EV -0.668%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -2.65%E -0.717%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 15:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.56%E -4.07%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -12.43%E -3.40%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.34%E -0.357%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -7.39%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 14:35 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 14:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -17.22%E -4.99%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.27%EV -10.05%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.05%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.42%EV -12.90%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.62%EV -12.39%E -3.72%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 15:13 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -10.05%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 15:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 15:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -18.44%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -12.53%E -7.12%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 14:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -13.03%E -7.45%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-03 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.12%EV -13.53%E -7.77%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.10%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -14.52%E -8.44%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.03%EV -14.52%E -8.44%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 15:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 15:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |