مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pogoń Szczecin v Wisła Płock

البداية: 2026-05-03 15:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pogoń Szczecin 3–0 Wisła Płock

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pogoń Szczecin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.70%2.01السعر العادل
EV -5.08%
الأفضلية -2.66%
Kelly -5.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.06%49.72%49.69%51.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.831.831.9158.14%54.59%54.64%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Wisła Płock (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.99%4.17السعر العادل
EV -0.668%
الأفضلية -0.161%
Kelly -0.213%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.92%24.03%23.99%25.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.453.853.854.1428.99%25.95%25.97%24.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.31%3.80السعر العادل
EV -1.34%
الأفضلية -0.357%
Kelly -0.487%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.83%26.26%26.32%27.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.483.503.7532.26%28.71%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.75%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.41%EV -2.59%E -0.637%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -6.86%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 15:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 15:00
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 15:05
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 15:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -5.58%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 15:00
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.83%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.21%EV -0.668%E -0.161%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -2.65%E -0.717%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 15:20
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:10
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 15:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:10
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.56%E -4.07%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -12.43%E -3.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:00
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 14:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -1.34%E -0.357%K -0.487%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 14:55
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -7.39%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 15:20
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 14:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 15:20
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.63%E -0.397%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:40
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 15:15
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:15
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:20
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:15
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 15:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 15:00
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:35
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:35
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:40
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 15:05
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -9.55%E -5.25%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -17.22%E -4.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 15:00
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 49.27%EV -10.05%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.05%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.42%EV -12.90%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.62%EV -12.39%E -3.72%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 15:13
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -10.05%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 15:14
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 15:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 15:15
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-03 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -18.44%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:40
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -12.53%E -7.12%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 14:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -13.03%E -7.45%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 15:10
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 51.12%EV -13.53%E -7.77%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.10%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 14:40
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -14.52%E -8.44%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 14:35
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.03%EV -14.52%E -8.44%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 15:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-05-03 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-05-03 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-05-03 15:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-05-03 15:15
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%5.2%2026-05-03 15:20