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Pogoń Szczecin v Wisła Kraków
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Prediction 44.06%2.27fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.39%44.13%44.07%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.072.072.1750.25%48.32%48.31%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisła Kraków (Visit)
Prediction 29.85%3.35fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.647%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.66%29.83%29.83%31.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.47%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV +0.456%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.160%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%26.04%26.10%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.543.8530.30%28.46%28.25%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pogoń Szczecin (Local): 44.06%; Wisła Kraków (Visit): 29.85%; Draw: 26.09%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.456%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV +0.456%E +0.118%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -2.15%E -0.574%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.40%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -3.58%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.76%EV -2.41%E -0.646%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.17%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.55%EV -2.94%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -3.46%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -6.86%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.33%EV -7.92%E -3.79%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.63%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 09:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -16.41%E -5.86%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.95%EV -12.33%E -6.20%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.95%EV -12.83%E -4.39%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |