默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pogoń Szczecin v Wisła Kraków

开赛时间: 2026-08-23 18:15 UTC

最终结果: Pogoń Szczecin 2–2 Wisła Kraków

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pogoń Szczecin (主队)

预测 44.06%2.27公平赔率
EV -4.40%
优势 -2.03%
Kelly -3.76%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.17

博彩公司预测分布
43.39%44.13%44.07%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.992.072.072.1750.25%48.32%48.31%46.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Wisła Kraków (客队)

预测 29.85%3.35公平赔率
EV -1.49%
优势 -0.451%
Kelly -0.647%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.66%29.83%29.83%31.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.47%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.09%3.83公平赔率
EV +0.456%
优势 +0.118%
Kelly +0.160%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.51%26.04%26.10%26.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.513.543.8530.30%28.46%28.25%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pogoń Szczecin (主队):44.06%;Wisła Kraków (客队):29.85%;平局:26.09%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.83。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.85,对应+0.456%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV +0.456%E +0.118%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.9%2026-08-23 17:49
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -2.15%E -0.574%K -0.783%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 17:50
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.40%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -3.58%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.76%EV -2.41%E -0.646%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 18:00
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.17%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.55%EV -2.94%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:09
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -3.46%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 18:08
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 18:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 17:49
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 17:54
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 17:54
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -6.86%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 18:10
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:05
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:04
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:04
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.33%EV -7.92%E -3.79%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.63%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 09:09
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 17:39
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 17:39
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 15:44
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 18:04
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 17:39
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 17:50
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 18:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -16.41%E -5.86%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-23 17:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.95%EV -12.33%E -6.20%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.95%EV -12.83%E -4.39%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-23 17:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 09:10
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 17:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-23 18:10
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-23 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-08-23 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-08-23 17:54
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.0%2026-08-23 17:50
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-08-23 17:50