Idioma:Español
Pogoń Szczecin v Wisła Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Predicción 44.06%2.27momio equitativo
EV -4.40%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.39%44.13%44.07%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.992.072.072.1750.25%48.32%48.31%46.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Wisła Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 29.85%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.451%
Kelly -0.647%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.66%29.83%29.83%31.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.47%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.09%3.83momio equitativo
EV +0.456%
Ventaja +0.118%
Kelly +0.160%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%26.04%26.10%26.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.543.8530.30%28.46%28.25%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pogoń Szczecin (Local): 44.06%; Wisła Kraków (Visitante): 29.85%; Empate: 26.09%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.83. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.456%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV +0.456%E +0.118%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -2.15%E -0.574%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.40%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -3.58%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.76%EV -2.41%E -0.646%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.17%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.55%EV -2.94%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -3.46%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.49%E -0.451%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -6.86%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -8.81%E -4.25%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.33%EV -7.92%E -3.79%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.63%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 09:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.27%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -16.41%E -5.86%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.95%EV -12.33%E -6.20%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.95%EV -12.83%E -4.39%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 17:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 17:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 17:50 |