Language:English
Piast Gliwice v Pogoń Szczecin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Prediction 45.25%2.21fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.91%45.34%45.21%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.032.052.1253.19%49.31%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pogoń Szczecin (Visit)
Prediction 27.81%3.60fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.500%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.75%27.81%29.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.253.5532.79%30.61%30.77%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -0.733%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.12%26.91%26.97%28.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6433.33%29.53%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Piast Gliwice (Local): 45.25%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visit): 27.81%; Draw: 26.94%. For Pogoń Szczecin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -4.07%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.47%EV -6.33%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.27%E -0.359%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.43%EV -1.94%E -0.532%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%EV -6.33%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.47%E -0.683%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -6.79%E -3.29%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.45%EV -6.79%E -3.29%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.08%EV -9.05%E -4.50%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.66%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 16:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -15.18%E -4.98%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.89%EV -10.86%E -5.51%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.04%EV -11.90%E -3.64%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -10.86%E -5.51%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -11.31%E -5.77%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.66%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -13.57%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -13.57%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -19.18%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.77%EV -14.93%E -7.94%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.87% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |