L’École des cotes

Piast Gliwice v Pogoń Szczecin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 17:02 UTC

Score final : Piast Gliwice 0–2 Pogoń Szczecin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prévision 45.25%2.21cote équitable
EV -4.07%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -3.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.91%45.34%45.21%47.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.032.052.1253.19%49.31%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.81%3.60cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.359%
Kelly -0.500%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.35%27.75%27.81%29.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.273.253.5532.79%30.61%30.77%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.94%3.71cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.532%
Kelly -0.733%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.12%26.91%26.97%28.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6433.33%29.53%29.41%27.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -4.07%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 17:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 17:00
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 17:00
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 16:59
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 17:00
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:56
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 17:00
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:59
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:59
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:59
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 17:00
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.47%EV -6.33%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.27%E -0.359%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.43%EV -1.94%E -0.532%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 16:59
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%EV -6.33%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.47%E -0.683%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 16:59
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -6.79%E -3.29%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 17:00
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.45%EV -6.79%E -3.29%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-13 17:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 17:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 17:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 17:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 17:00
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 16:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 16:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:59
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 17:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 17:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 17:00
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.08%EV -9.05%E -4.50%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 17:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.66%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 17:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 16:52
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 16:59
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-13 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 17:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 17:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-13 17:00
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-13 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -15.18%E -4.98%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-13 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.89%EV -10.86%E -5.51%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.04%EV -11.90%E -3.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-13 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -10.86%E -5.51%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-13 16:59
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -11.31%E -5.77%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-13 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.66%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 17:00
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 17:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-13 17:00
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-13 17:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -13.57%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-13 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -13.57%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -19.18%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-13 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.77%EV -14.93%E -7.94%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-13 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.2%2026-04-13 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-04-13 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-04-13 17:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-04-13 17:00
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%5.8%2026-04-13 17:00
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 45.87%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%9.0%2026-04-13 17:00