La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Piast Gliwice v Pogoń Szczecin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Predicción 45.25%2.21momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -3.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.91%45.34%45.21%47.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.032.052.1253.19%49.31%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pogoń Szczecin (Visitante)
Predicción 27.81%3.60momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.359%
Kelly -0.500%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.75%27.81%29.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.273.253.5532.79%30.61%30.77%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.94%3.71momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.532%
Kelly -0.733%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.12%26.91%26.97%28.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6433.33%29.53%29.41%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -4.07%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:56 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.88%E -2.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.47%EV -6.33%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.27%E -0.359%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.43%EV -1.94%E -0.532%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%EV -6.33%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.47%E -0.683%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -6.79%E -3.29%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.45%EV -6.79%E -3.29%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.08%EV -9.05%E -4.50%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.66%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 16:52 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -10.41%E -5.26%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -15.18%E -4.98%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.89%EV -10.86%E -5.51%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.04%EV -11.90%E -3.64%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -10.86%E -5.51%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -12.40%E -3.94%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -11.31%E -5.77%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.66%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -11.76%E -6.03%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -13.57%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -13.57%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -19.18%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.77%EV -14.93%E -7.94%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-13 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.87% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |