Language:English
Piast Gliwice v GKS Katowice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Prediction 39.91%2.51fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.79%39.84%39.86%40.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4046.51%43.43%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GKS Katowice (Visit)
Prediction 33.75%2.96fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -0.937%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.22%33.78%33.76%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.722.702.9139.22%36.79%37.04%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.325%
Kelly -0.443%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%26.38%26.38%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7531.25%28.63%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Piast Gliwice (Local): 39.91%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 33.75%; Draw: 26.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.22%E -0.325%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 08:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 07:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.65%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.79%E -0.615%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.25%EV -3.33%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.65%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.79%E -0.615%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.25%EV -3.33%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.84%EV -5.81%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 06:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 05:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:23 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 07:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.27%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.27%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.15%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.39%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.28%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.35%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.28%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-03 07:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 12:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 06:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -13.94%E -5.47%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 07:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-04 05:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.20%E -6.60%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-04 12:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.22% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |