Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Piast Gliwice v GKS Katowice

Início: 2026-09-04 18:30 UTC

Final: Piast Gliwice 3–0 GKS Katowice

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Previsão 39.91%2.51odd justa
EV -4.22%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -3.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.79%39.84%39.86%40.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.302.302.4046.51%43.43%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

GKS Katowice (Visitante)

Previsão 33.75%2.96odd justa
EV -1.79%
Vantagem -0.615%
Kelly -0.937%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.22%33.78%33.76%34.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.722.702.9139.22%36.79%37.04%34.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.34%3.80odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.325%
Kelly -0.443%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.39%26.38%26.38%28.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.493.503.7531.25%28.63%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Piast Gliwice (Local): 39.91%; GKS Katowice (Visitante): 33.75%; Empate: 26.34%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.75, com valor esperado de -1.22%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.22%E -0.325%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 07:34
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.65%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.79%E -0.615%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.25%EV -3.33%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:20
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.65%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.79%E -0.615%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.25%EV -3.33%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.84%EV -5.81%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 06:44
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 05:09
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:23
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:30
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 07:35
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 07:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.27%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.27%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:30
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.15%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.39%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.28%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.35%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.28%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 12:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 05:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 12:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 07:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 12:48
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 06:33
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:30
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -13.94%E -5.47%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 07:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-04 05:14
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.20%E -6.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 12:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-04 13:15
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.22%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-09-04 13:10