Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Piast Gliwice v GKS Katowice

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 18:30 UTC

Score final : Piast Gliwice 3–0 GKS Katowice

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prévision 39.91%2.51cote équitable
EV -4.22%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -3.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.79%39.84%39.86%40.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.302.302.4046.51%43.43%43.48%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

GKS Katowice (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.75%2.96cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.615%
Kelly -0.937%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.22%33.78%33.76%34.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.722.702.9139.22%36.79%37.04%34.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.34%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.325%
Kelly -0.443%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.39%26.38%26.38%28.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.493.503.7531.25%28.63%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Piast Gliwice (Local) : 39.91% ; GKS Katowice (Visiteur) : 33.75% ; Match nul : 26.34%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.75, pour une espérance de -1.22% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.22%E -0.325%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.22%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 07:34
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.65%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.79%E -0.615%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.25%EV -3.33%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:20
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.65%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.79%E -0.615%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.25%EV -3.33%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.84%EV -5.81%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 06:44
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 05:09
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:23
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.50%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -15.71%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:30
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 07:35
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -6.21%E -2.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 07:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.27%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.27%EV -6.61%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:30
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.15%EV -7.41%E -3.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.39%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.28%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.35%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.28%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 12:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 05:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 12:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 07:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.21%E -3.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -6.18%E -2.22%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 12:48
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -9.01%E -3.95%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 06:33
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.17%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:30
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.88%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.58%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -10.20%E -4.54%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -13.94%E -5.47%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 07:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -11.00%E -4.93%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.20%E -5.55%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-04 05:14
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.20%E -6.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 12:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.12%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-04 13:15
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.22%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-09-04 13:10