A Escola das Odds

Piast Gliwice v Arka Gdynia

Início: 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Previsão 51.44%1.94odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -1.75%
Kelly -3.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.07%51.48%51.46%53.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.791.801.8860.61%55.90%55.56%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arka Gdynia (Visitante)

Previsão 21.98%4.55odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -0.437%
Kelly -0.563%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.92%21.91%22.06%23.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.114.104.4627.78%24.34%24.39%22.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.58%3.76odd justa
EV -3.52%
Vantagem -0.971%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.57%26.60%26.48%28.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.393.403.6333.33%29.53%29.41%27.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:14
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:15
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:15
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.81%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 12:34
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 17:14
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:45
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:45
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 17:14
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 04:12
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 17:04
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:00
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 00:20
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 00:19
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 17:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 06:04
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 52.79%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.19%EV -1.95%E -0.437%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.03%EV -3.52%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 13:10
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.04%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -13.16%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 17:15
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.29%EV -3.71%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:30
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -4.37%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 13:14
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -4.37%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:10
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 02:00
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-20 17:15
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.01%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.91%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 17:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 17:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 17:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 21:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%EV -16.46%E -4.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-20 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.56%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -20.27%E -6.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-22 04:14
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.71%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -17.56%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.03%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-21 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -12.56%E -7.39%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 17:01
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 50.99%EV -13.07%E -7.73%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.50%EV -15.80%E -4.12%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-21 00:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.21%EV -13.58%E -8.09%K -19.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.43%EV -20.85%E -5.79%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.36%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-21 00:20
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 51.79%EV -15.13%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.91%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 23:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 51.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54%13.2%2026-04-24 01:10
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 50.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%13.9%2026-04-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 17:14