مدرسة الاحتمالات

Piast Gliwice v Arka Gdynia

البداية: 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Piast Gliwice (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.44%1.94السعر العادل
EV -3.30%
الأفضلية -1.75%
Kelly -3.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.07%51.48%51.46%53.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.791.801.8860.61%55.90%55.56%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arka Gdynia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.98%4.55السعر العادل
EV -1.95%
الأفضلية -0.437%
Kelly -0.563%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.92%21.91%22.06%23.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.114.104.4627.78%24.34%24.39%22.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.58%3.76السعر العادل
EV -3.52%
الأفضلية -0.971%
Kelly -1.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.57%26.60%26.48%28.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.393.403.6333.33%29.53%29.41%27.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:14
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:15
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:15
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.81%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 12:34
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 17:14
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:45
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:45
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 17:14
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 04:12
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 17:04
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:00
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 00:20
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 00:19
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 17:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 06:04
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 52.79%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.19%EV -1.95%E -0.437%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.03%EV -3.52%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 13:10
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.04%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -13.16%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 17:15
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.29%EV -3.71%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:30
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -4.37%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 13:14
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -4.37%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:10
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 02:00
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-20 17:15
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.01%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.91%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 17:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 17:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 17:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 21:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%EV -16.46%E -4.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-20 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.56%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -20.27%E -6.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-22 04:14
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.71%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -17.56%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.03%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-21 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -12.56%E -7.39%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 17:01
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 50.99%EV -13.07%E -7.73%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.50%EV -15.80%E -4.12%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-21 00:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.21%EV -13.58%E -8.09%K -19.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.43%EV -20.85%E -5.79%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.36%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-21 00:20
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 51.79%EV -15.13%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.91%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 23:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 51.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54%13.2%2026-04-24 01:10
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 50.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%13.9%2026-04-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 17:14