L’École des cotes

Piast Gliwice v Arka Gdynia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prévision 51.44%1.94cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -3.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.07%51.48%51.46%53.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.791.801.8860.61%55.90%55.56%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arka Gdynia (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.98%4.55cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.437%
Kelly -0.563%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.92%21.91%22.06%23.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.114.104.4627.78%24.34%24.39%22.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.58%3.76cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -0.971%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.57%26.60%26.48%28.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6333.33%29.53%29.41%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:14
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:15
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:15
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.81%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 12:34
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 17:14
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:45
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:45
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 17:14
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.47%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 04:12
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 17:04
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:00
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 00:20
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 00:19
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 17:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 09:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 06:04
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 17:15
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 52.79%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.19%EV -1.95%E -0.437%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.03%EV -3.52%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 13:10
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.04%EV -8.44%E -4.74%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55%EV -13.16%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 17:15
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.29%EV -3.71%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:30
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:30
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -4.37%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 13:14
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -4.37%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:10
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 02:00
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-20 17:15
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.01%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.91%EV -4.85%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 17:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 17:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.98%E -5.71%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 17:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 21:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%EV -16.46%E -4.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-20 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -11.01%E -6.37%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.56%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -20.27%E -6.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-22 04:14
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.71%EV -11.53%E -6.70%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -17.56%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.03%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-21 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -12.56%E -7.39%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 17:01
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 50.99%EV -13.07%E -7.73%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.50%EV -15.80%E -4.12%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-21 00:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.21%EV -13.58%E -8.09%K -19.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.43%EV -20.85%E -5.79%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.36%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-21 00:20
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 51.79%EV -15.13%E -9.17%K -23.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.91%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 23:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 51.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54%13.2%2026-04-24 01:10
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 50.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%13.9%2026-04-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 17:14