Language:English
Nieciecza v Radomiak Radom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nieciecza (Local)
Prediction 36.06%2.77fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.977%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.95%36.08%36.14%37.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.552.552.7043.48%39.17%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Radomiak Radom (Visit)
Prediction 37.81%2.64fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.65%37.74%37.76%38.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.432.6044.44%41.25%41.15%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.13%3.83fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.684%
Kelly -0.935%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.19%26.18%26.10%28.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.503.503.7333.33%28.59%28.57%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nieciecza (Local): 36.06%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 37.81%; Draw: 26.13%. For Radomiak Radom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -1.68%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -1.68%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.02%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -2.06%E -0.795%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.81%EV -2.55%E -0.684%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 11:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 11:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 10:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.33%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.43%EV -9.62%E -4.03%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.62%EV -11.89%E -5.10%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -9.13%E -3.62%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 11:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -9.49%E -3.78%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -5.09%E -2.03%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -9.49%E -3.78%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.99%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 11:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -1.68%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.90%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.75%EV -5.09%E -2.03%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 10:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 10:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -14.92%E -6.63%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -11.70%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-01 10:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 11:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-01 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -21.62%E -7.21%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-01 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -15.26%E -6.49%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.80%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-01 11:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -17.06%E -7.42%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-01 11:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.33%EV -17.06%E -7.42%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.14%EV -14.92%E -6.63%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.53%EV -17.71%E -5.62%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-01 10:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 10:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.63% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-03-01 10:54 |