La escuela de los momios

Nieciecza v Radomiak Radom

Inicio: 2026-03-01 11:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nieciecza (Local)

Predicción 36.06%2.77momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.977%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.95%36.08%36.14%37.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.552.552.7043.48%39.17%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Radomiak Radom (Visitante)

Predicción 37.81%2.64momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.647%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.65%37.74%37.76%38.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.432.6044.44%41.25%41.15%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.13%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.684%
Kelly -0.935%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.19%26.18%26.10%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.503.7333.33%28.59%28.57%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 10:59
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 10:59
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 10:59
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -1.68%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 10:59
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -1.68%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 10:49
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 10:59
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 10:59
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 11:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 10:59
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:00
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 11:00
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 10:49
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.02%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -2.06%E -0.795%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.81%EV -2.55%E -0.684%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 11:04
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 10:49
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 11:04
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 10:55
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.33%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.43%EV -9.62%E -4.03%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 10:59
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 10:49
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 10:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 10:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.62%EV -11.89%E -5.10%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 10:59
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 10:59
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -9.13%E -3.62%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 11:04
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -9.49%E -3.78%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -5.09%E -2.03%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 11:04
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -9.49%E -3.78%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.99%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 11:04
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 10:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -1.68%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 10:59
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 11:04
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.90%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.75%EV -5.09%E -2.03%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 10:54
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 10:54
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 11:04
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 10:49
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 10:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 10:54
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 10:49
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -14.92%E -6.63%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -11.70%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 10:48
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 11:04
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 11:00
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -21.62%E -7.21%K -10.81%G +0.000%18.5%2026-03-01 10:49
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -15.26%E -6.49%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.80%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 11:04
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -17.06%E -7.42%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-01 11:04
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.33%EV -17.06%E -7.42%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.14%EV -14.92%E -6.63%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.53%EV -17.71%E -5.62%K -8.24%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-01 10:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-03-01 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.63%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-03-01 10:54