L’École des cotes

Nieciecza v Radomiak Radom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 11:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nieciecza (Local)

Prévision 36.06%2.77cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.977%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.95%36.08%36.14%37.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.552.552.7043.48%39.17%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Radomiak Radom (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.81%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.647%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.65%37.74%37.76%38.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.432.6044.44%41.25%41.15%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.13%3.83cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -0.684%
Kelly -0.935%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.19%26.18%26.10%28.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.503.503.7333.33%28.59%28.57%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 10:59
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 10:59
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -2.64%E -0.977%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 10:59
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -1.68%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 10:59
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -1.68%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 10:49
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 10:59
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 10:59
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 11:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.44%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 10:59
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.44%E -1.68%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:00
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -5.16%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 11:00
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -5.52%E -2.11%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 10:49
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.02%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -2.06%E -0.795%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.81%EV -2.55%E -0.684%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 11:04
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 10:49
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 11:04
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 10:55
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.33%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.43%EV -9.62%E -4.03%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.24%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.14%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 10:59
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 10:49
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 10:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 10:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.62%EV -11.89%E -5.10%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 10:59
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 10:59
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -9.13%E -3.62%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 11:04
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -9.49%E -3.78%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -5.09%E -2.03%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 11:04
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 36.91%EV -9.49%E -3.78%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.99%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 11:04
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 10:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -1.68%E -0.647%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 10:59
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.46%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.26%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 11:04
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.90%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.75%EV -5.09%E -2.03%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 10:54
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 10:54
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 11:04
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 10:49
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 10:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 10:54
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 10:49
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -14.92%E -6.63%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -11.70%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 10:48
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 11:04
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 11:00
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.65%E -4.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -21.62%E -7.21%K -10.81%G +0.000%18.5%2026-03-01 10:49
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -15.26%E -6.49%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.80%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 11:04
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -17.06%E -7.42%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -13.03%E -5.66%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-01 11:04
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.33%EV -17.06%E -7.42%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.14%EV -14.92%E -6.63%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.53%EV -17.71%E -5.62%K -8.24%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-01 10:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-03-01 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-03-01 10:59
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.63%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-03-01 10:54