Language:English
Motor Lublin v Korona Kielce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motor Lublin (Local)
Prediction 41.64%2.40fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%41.69%41.67%43.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.212.202.3551.28%45.16%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Korona Kielce (Visit)
Prediction 30.13%3.32fair odd
EV +2.43%
Edge +0.714%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.10%30.17%31.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.4036.36%33.06%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.23%3.54fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.90%28.21%28.17%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.253.4034.72%31.00%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motor Lublin (Local): 41.64%; Korona Kielce (Visit): 30.13%; Draw: 28.23%. For Korona Kielce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -7.56%E -3.40%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.43%E +0.714%K +1.01%G +0.025% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV -6.27%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -7.56%E -3.40%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.43%E +0.714%K +1.01%G +0.025% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV -6.27%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.47%E -2.41%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.921%E +0.275%K +0.392%G +0.004% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.89%EV -5.98%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.585%E -0.177%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.09%E -0.643%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -9.22%E -4.23%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 16:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.55%EV -6.72%E -3.00%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.36%EV -4.50%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.56%E -3.40%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -9.22%E -4.23%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -2.14%E -0.912%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -4.22%E -1.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 09:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 16:16 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -14.64%E -7.14%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.65%EV -18.80%E -9.64%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -18.12%E -6.25%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.29%EV -7.14%E -3.20%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -13.24%E -4.60%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.54%E -4.72%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.54%E -4.72%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.19%EV -11.30%E -5.31%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.03%EV -11.63%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-28 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.65%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.69%E -6.49%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.78%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -17.15%E -6.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -13.89%E -4.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.75% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |