A Escola das Odds

Motor Lublin v Korona Kielce

Início: 2026-02-28 16:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Motor Lublin (Local)

Previsão 41.64%2.40odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -0.912%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.20%41.69%41.67%43.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.212.202.3551.28%45.16%45.45%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Korona Kielce (Visitante)

Previsão 30.13%3.32odd justa
EV +2.43%
Vantagem +0.714%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%30.10%30.17%31.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.023.003.4036.36%33.06%33.33%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.23%3.54odd justa
EV -4.01%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.90%28.21%28.17%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.233.253.4034.72%31.00%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -7.56%E -3.40%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.43%E +0.714%K +1.01%G +0.025%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV -6.27%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 16:15
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -7.56%E -3.40%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.43%E +0.714%K +1.01%G +0.025%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV -6.27%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 16:15
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.47%E -2.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.921%E +0.275%K +0.392%G +0.004%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.89%EV -5.98%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 16:15
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.585%E -0.177%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 16:15
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.09%E -0.643%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 16:15
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -9.22%E -4.23%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:09
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 16:03
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.55%EV -6.72%E -3.00%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.36%EV -4.50%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 16:15
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.56%E -3.40%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 16:15
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -9.22%E -4.23%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:15
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:15
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 16:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 16:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 16:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 16:15
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 16:15
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 16:15
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:15
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:15
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -2.14%E -0.912%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:15
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:15
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:15
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:15
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:15
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:15
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:15
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 10:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 16:15
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -4.22%E -1.84%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 16:15
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:15
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 16:15
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 09:24
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 16:15
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 16:16
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 16:15
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 16:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -14.64%E -7.14%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-28 16:15
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.65%EV -18.80%E -9.64%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -18.12%E -6.25%K -9.54%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-28 16:15
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.29%EV -7.14%E -3.20%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -13.24%E -4.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 16:15
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.54%E -4.72%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.54%E -4.72%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 16:15
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 16:15
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-28 16:15
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.19%EV -11.30%E -5.31%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.03%EV -11.63%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-28 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.65%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.69%E -6.49%K -9.94%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-28 16:15
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.78%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -17.15%E -6.24%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -13.89%E -4.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-28 16:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-02-28 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-02-28 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-02-28 16:15
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-02-28 16:15
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.75%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.75%2.3%2026-02-28 16:15