La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Motor Lublin v Korona Kielce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Motor Lublin (Local)
Predicción 41.64%2.40momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.912%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.20%41.69%41.67%43.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.212.202.3551.28%45.16%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Korona Kielce (Visitante)
Predicción 30.13%3.32momio equitativo
EV +2.43%
Ventaja +0.714%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%30.10%30.17%31.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.003.4036.36%33.06%33.33%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.23%3.54momio equitativo
EV -4.01%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.90%28.21%28.17%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.4034.72%31.00%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -7.56%E -3.40%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.43%E +0.714%K +1.01%G +0.025% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV -6.27%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.07%EV -7.56%E -3.40%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.43%E +0.714%K +1.01%G +0.025% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.80%EV -6.27%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.47%E -2.41%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.921%E +0.275%K +0.392%G +0.004% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.89%EV -5.98%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.585%E -0.177%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.09%E -0.643%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -9.22%E -4.23%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 16:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 16:03 |
| 1xBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.55%EV -6.72%E -3.00%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.36%EV -4.50%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.56%E -3.40%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| BetUS | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -9.22%E -4.23%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -2.14%E -0.912%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -2.98%E -1.28%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 10:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -4.22%E -1.84%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -5.06%E -2.22%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 09:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 16:16 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -14.64%E -7.14%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.65%EV -18.80%E -9.64%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.68%EV -18.12%E -6.25%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.29%EV -7.14%E -3.20%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -13.24%E -4.60%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.54%E -4.72%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.54%E -4.72%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -8.24%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.19%EV -11.30%E -5.31%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.03%EV -11.63%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-28 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.65%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.69%E -6.49%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.78%EV -12.55%E -5.98%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -17.15%E -6.24%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -13.89%E -4.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.75% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.75% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |